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2024-12-14 00:24:57

December 12th Morning Post: US stocks hit a new high. Will A shares follow?There is still a problem to remind everyone, although the small ticket has gone up again recently, but high-priced stocks have nuclear buttons every day. Yesterday, most of the consumption, AI and robots were dominated by the first board hype, and the funds switched between the above sectors, but the influence was really average.In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!


There is still a problem to remind everyone, although the small ticket has gone up again recently, but high-priced stocks have nuclear buttons every day. Yesterday, most of the consumption, AI and robots were dominated by the first board hype, and the funds switched between the above sectors, but the influence was really average.In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!Overnight, European and American stock markets were mixed. Except for the slight decline of the Dow, the large-scale technology stocks in the United States basically rose sharply. However, the Chinese stock index bottomed out and fell by 0.94%, and the A50 index fell by 0.01%, and the external sentiment was neutral.


Today, the market has a high probability of falling back, so be careful of the risks caused by low-priced stocks. I am not sure when the hot money and quantification will start sickle harvesting, but the median ticket continues to ebb, which is a risk signal in itself. Safety first now, through the shock consolidation period, the good days are yet to come!When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.Today, the market has a high probability of falling back, so be careful of the risks caused by low-priced stocks. I am not sure when the hot money and quantification will start sickle harvesting, but the median ticket continues to ebb, which is a risk signal in itself. Safety first now, through the shock consolidation period, the good days are yet to come!

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